Climate Change Australia – Flannery Should Explain Past Dud Predictions Before Whipping Up Fresh Scares

Posted on Mon 12/09/2013 by


Bolt New 01By Andrew Bolt ~

Professor Tim Flannery (Former Australian Climate Change Commissioner)

Professor Tim Flannery (Former Australian Climate Change Commissioner)

Professional alarmist Tim Flannery whips up more fear by exploiting bushfires which he falsely claims were “unusual” and “unprecedented”:

In October, huge bushfires devastated communities, property and livelihoods in the Blue Mountains, west of Sydney. Tragically, two lives were lost. As the Climate Council’s first major report makes clear, our changing climate is increasing the chances of similar events in future.

Yes, bushfires are part of the Australian experience, but large and severe bushfires in October are unusual…

The 2009 Black Saturday bushfires in Victoria were also preceded by extreme fire danger conditions: a decade-long drought and a number of record hot years, all compounded by a heatwave in the week prior. The ferocity of these fires was unprecedented, and so severe were they that they broke the record for the Forest Fire Danger Index, and a new category – ‘’catastrophic’’ or ‘’code red’’ – was added.

As I’ve shown several times already, even the 2009 Black Saturday fires were far from our biggest recorded – in 1851.  NSW has had several severe October fires that were bigger and deadlier than this year’s.

What’s more, Flannery claims the NSW fires were the product of unusual heat and dryness:

Hot, dry conditions create conditions favourable for bushfires. Australia has just experienced its hottest 12 months ever recorded.

And, of course, that’s the kind of global warming Flannery was warning of in 2005:

I’M afraid that the science around climate change is firming up fairly quickly . . . we’ve seen just drought, drought, drought, and particularly regions like Sydney and the Warragamba catchment—if you look at the Warragamba catchment figures, since 98 the water has been in virtual freefall, and they’ve got about two years of supply left . . .

Maxine McKew: But. . . we won’t see a return to more normal patterns?

Flannery: . . . they do seem to be of a permanent nature.

In fact, the world hasn’t warmed for 15 years, the fires followed years of good rains which built up fuel load and – incidentally – Warragamba is at 92.6 per cent capacity.

Why do Fairfax newspapers still treat Flannery seriously? Why no fact-checking of his claims?

Here’s a suggestion. Why not ask Flannery for an article explaining this prediction of his from 2008, just brought to my attention by reader Richard:

Just imagine yourself in a world five years from now, when there is no more ice over the Arctic, when we stand under threat of a rapidly warming Arctic Ocean, when we’re starting to see the first destabilisation of the Greenland ice cap, and all of those things happening because we don’t have a solution, because if things advance that rapidly we simply will not have a solution, in terms of reducing emissions. Then you’ve got to start pulling in your last-ditch efforts.

Arctic ice cover five years later:


Andrew Bolt is a journalist and columnist writing for The Herald Sun in Melbourne Victoria Australia.

Andrew Bolt’s columns appear in Melbourne’s Herald Sun, Sydney’s Daily Telegraph and Adelaide’s Advertiser. He runs the most-read political blog in Australia and hosts Channel 10’s The Bolt Report each Sunday at 10am. He is also heard from Monday to Friday at 8am on the breakfast show of radio station MTR 1377, and his book  Still Not Sorry remains very widely read.

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