At the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, prominent alarmist David Jones boasts of snowing sceptics, and cites as evidence of global warming a drought now passed and a prediction since debunked:
cc: “Shoni Dawkins” <???@bom.gov.au>
date: Fri, 7 Sep 2007 08:28:03 +100 ???
from: “David Jones” <???@bom.gov.au>
subject: RE: African stations used in HadCRU global data set
to: “Phil Jones” <???@uea.ac.uk>
Thanks Phil for the input and paper. I will get back to you with comments next week.
Fortunately in Australia our sceptics are rather scientifically incompetent. It is also
easier for us in that we have a policy of providing any complainer with every single
station observation when they question our data (this usually snows them) and the
Australian data is in pretty good order anyway.
Truth be know, climate change here is now running so rampant that we don’t need
meteorological data to see it. Almost everyone of our cities is on the verge of running out
of water and our largest irrigation system (the Murray Darling Basin is on the verge of
collapse – across NSW farmer have received a 0% allocation of water for the coming summer
and in Victoria they currently have 5% allocations – numbers that will just about see the
death of our fruit, citrus, vine and dairy industries if we don’t get good spring rain).
The odd things is that even when we see average rainfall our runoffs are far below average,
which seems to be a direct result of warmer temperatures. Recent polls show that
Australians now rate climate change as a greater threat than world terrorism.
Consider that bizarre email for a second. Jones was so sure that the weather here was evidence of a man-made change to the climate that he didn’t even need meteorological data to confirm it.
But what does the Climate Commission now concede – just four years later – about that drought that so convinced Jones that man was to blame?:
“Australia naturally has a high degree of variability in rainfall, with long periods of intense droughts punctuated by heavy rainfall and flooding, so it is difficult from observations alone to unequivocally identify anything that is distinctly unusual about the post-1950 pattern”.
And as Climate Commissioner Will Steffen confirmed to me:
Andrew Bolt: “We have also been told by this Government that the recent drought in the Murray-Darling Basin was caused by global warming, again your own report says there is nothing unusual about that drought either is that true?”
Professor Will Steffen: “We’ve had very severe droughts before so again we cannot attribute this drought statistically to climate change….”
As for Jones’s warming that “almost everyone of our cities is on the verge of running out of water” thanks to climate change, let’s check:
Sydney’s water storage: 78 per cent full
Melbourne’s water storage: 65 per cent full.
Canberra’s water storage: 96 per cent full
Brisbane and SE Queensland’s water storage: 79 per cent full.
Adelaide’s water storage:77 per cent full
Perth’s water storage: 36 per cent full
In short, not a single city is “on the verge of running out of water”. And the Murray Darling basin is in excellent shape after last summer’s floods, as this image shows:
Reader the Realist
The figure for Brisbane/SE Queensland would be a lot higher but they have had to open the flood gates and dump 25% of the dam capacity ready for the higher than average rains forecast for this wet season. And today I see people are being rescued from floodwaters in NSW. Damn, thermageddon is a lot wetter than it’s supposed to be.
Reader Occam’s Blunt Razor:
No doubt someone will point out Perth’s current low dam levels. Everybody who isn’t in Perth – don’t worry – dams provide less than 40% of our water supply with more than 60% from ground water (of which we have plenty inlcuding a massive as yet untapped aquifier in the SW) and a desalination plant with another coming on line in the next year or so.
Andrew Bolt’s columns appear in Melbourne’s Herald Sun, Sydney’s Daily Telegraph and Adelaide’s Advertiser. He runs the most-read political blog in Australia and hosts Channel 10’s The Bolt Report each Sunday at 10am. He is also heard from Monday to Friday at 8am on the breakfast show of radio station MTR 1377, and his book Still Not Sorry remains very widely read.