Kyoto – A Perspective (Part 20)

Posted on Sat 05/03/2008 by

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BACK TO KYOTO (Part Two)

I’m including a link at the top of this article to this story in written by .

What I would like you all to do is to read the article, not just browse over it quickly, but to actually read the article slowly.
I’m just a guy contributing to a ‘blog’. This gentleman is a Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. Admitted, opinion has it that this organisation is a conservative Public Policy Think Tank, but that doesn’t mean what they do say is not true.

Don’t read any further until you have gone back and read the article.

What I would like to do is to expand on some of his points.

See how the political candidates commit ‘WE THE PEOPLE’ to targets that just roll off their tongues.
Why do they do that?
They don’t know what they are actually committing to, and the people who advise them don’t know either.
So Hillary, Barack, and even John McCain have script writers compose speeches for them, so they stand on stage, put their hands on their hearts, look thoroughly earnest, and say that we need to cut back production of greenhouse gases by 80% by 2050, almost like they actually believe it. I am absolutely 100% certain that if the ramifications were pointed out to them, then they wouldn’t say those things.
It’s rhetoric, and this makes them look like they’re committing to it once elected, along the lines of “my percentage is bigger than yours.”
Interest groups are appeased and advise followers to vote for one or the other.

When the President gets up and commits to a lower percentage, and tries to explain why, those interest groups just howl him down.
Surely he must have some advice, otherwise it would surely be in his best interests to say the same thing as the other guys. Why would he quote a lower figure knowing he’s only going to be shouted down.

What’s going to happen when one of those three candidates gets in and finds out the real truth. How are they going to get out of that?

Let’s actually pretend that the target is realistic, and one we will strive to reach.
Based on current power usage this means we will only be using one quarter of the electrical power we currently use. For the purpose of an exercise, take out your most recent account for electric power. I don’t know what a US account looks like, but here in Australia, the hot water component is included in the total but shows separately, because we have two levels of supply, as well as off peak supply, when the tank’s heater element works during times of less power consumption, hence ‘Off Peak’. That component of the whole total is shown separately. Right now, it currently runs at one quarter of the whole total.
So, why I said this is that if we are to reach that target, then we won’t even have enough electrical power to keep us in hot water.

What else is a big user of electrical power?

The Oven. Huge heating element there.

Four burner cooktop. Sorry. Grill. No. Element’s too big there. Extractor fan over the cooktop. Sorry.

Electric jug. As long as it’s a small one. Toaster. Not really.

Microwave, well maybe, but a motor still runs the rotating plate, so it’s just the tiny little microwave on that front.

Dishwasher. No way.

The biggest power users are electric motors, because power is needed to energise the big electromagnets on the stator and the rotor, so that opposing magnetic fields cause the motor to rotate. The bigger the motor, the more power it consumes.
There goes the refrigerator. A big motor, (and it has to be big) drives the compressor that cools the heat exchanger to keep the temperature inside at a level to preserve food. Then it has a fan to move that cold air around, that fan also driven by a motor. The same applies for a fan forced oven.
Look at the air conditioner, which uses another compressor, driven by a motor. The bigger the area of your house, the bigger the air conditioner has to be, therefore the bigger the compressor, the bigger the motor to drive it. So air conditioning is out.
The same applies for any method of heating which requires electricity, either to drive the reverse cycle aircon, the oil heater, the electrical element heater.
Plasma televisions. Sorry. DVD players. Sorry, motor driven. Electric blankets, sorry, large heating elements there. Sound systems. Sorry. Most lighting. Sorry, and for all you people who rushed out to buy those energy efficient small fluoros, don’t have them on for too long. Funny, seven times the price of the old ones too. Motorised garage doors. Nup! Washing machines, sorry, big motors there too. Clothes dryers, sorry, big motors there too. Everywhere you look.

Home handyman. Not any more. Electric motors drive every tool. Battery tools are okay, but sorry, you require electricity for the chargers.

You say technology has come so far up to now, and surely it can go even further. Maybe, but what you cannot get around is the electric motors that run all these big use items. The technology has come so far now. Electric motors have got to the stage where they are as small as they can get. Composite materials are being used for the magnets, providing highly improved magnetism over what they once were, but that has just about reached its limit. The only way it can be improved is to make the magnets stronger and the only way to do that is to have more electrical windings so that the current flowing through them is greater, making more flux, and the wiring is the thing. It makes the motor bigger true, but the space is larger and it draws much more power. Superconductors may be the way to go in the future, but again, the technology is still formulating, and the cost is still enormous. Technology improves daily, but reaches a plateau sooner or later.

It’s also not the case that you can mount a solar panel on the roof to power your house. You can’t put a huge wind powered generator in your back yard. You cannot produce enough power to run your own house within the confines of that house. You have to be on the grid. To actually achieve the target you’ll have to cut back on your electricity usage to around one fifth of what you now use.

No, these people are willing to commit you to this so they can get elected.
They know politics. They DO NOT KNOW ELECTRICAL POWER.

Now that we’ve shown what happens at home, look at a photograph of the New York Skyline. See all those buildings. All of them uninhabitable, as is every building you look at in your city, in your town, everywhere.

So you’re not just looking at losing electricity. You’re looking at unemployment on a scale unseen in history.

Don’t believe me. Ask an electrician. Go back and read the article again.

Ask the guy who represents you in congress or the Senate. Don’t let them waffle on about how we have to do this. Ask him how, and then ask him how much. Then tell him or her to go away and find out. See if they get back to you. I have my doubts.

KPPSTony