Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s last hope and promise is dead. She insisted voters would forgive Labor when they saw the carbon tax wasn’t so bad – but they haven’t and they won’t:
…the first poll published since the introduction of the tax last week showing support for the Coalition climbing to its highest level since April.
A Newspoll conducted exclusively for The Australian at the weekend found the Coalition’s primary support had risen two points to 48 per cent as Labor’s primary vote increased one percentage point to 31 per cent. Despite Labor showering low- and middle-income earners with hundreds of millions of dollars in cash compensation for the new tax, the Opposition Leader has again overtaken Julia Gillard as voters’ preferred PM.
And with the Greens’ primary vote also falling a percentage point to 11 per cent, the Coalition recorded an election-winning two-party-preferred lead of 56 per cent to 44 per cent.
Nowhere in the latest figures is there hope:
The Greens recorded 11 per cent primary support – down from a high of 14 per cent early in June… Newspoll poll found voter satisfaction with Ms Gillard’s performance fell three percentage points in the past fortnight to 27 per cent… Ms Gillard’s dissatisfaction rating climbed two points to 61 per cent.
Essential Research yesterday was no better: Labor 44 to the Coalition 56.
So, what’s Gillard’s next plan?
Not what Gillard pedicted in May 2011:
When Australia has a carbon price, when households are generously assisted, when jobs continue to grow, when the sun rises in the east, cows keep giving milk, chickens still lay eggs, our opponents know their campaign of fear will be exposed as a sham and then they will face the judgment of the Australian people in 2013.
I think Australians are pretty smart, pretty practical people and they will judge (the carbon tax) through their lived experience. They’ll see, millions of them, seven million of them in their pay packet in the coming week the benefit of the tax cuts. And the significance of that shouldn’t be underestimated. .
…whether it’s today or in the weeks or months ahead, I think Australians will judge carbon pricing from the experience that they live. And I believe when the dust settles in the months ahead people will come to see it as the right move for Australia’s future.
Andrew Bolt’s columns appear in Melbourne’s Herald Sun, Sydney’s Daily Telegraph and Adelaide’s Advertiser. He runs the most-read political blog in Australia and hosts Channel 10’s The Bolt Report each Sunday at 10am, and his book Still Not Sorry remains very widely read.