Climate Change, Electrical Power, Logic, And Me

Posted on 08/31/2009 by

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What if I am right?

Nearly 18 months ago, I started to contribute at this blog site. This is the link to that first post.

It’s always a little concerning doing something like this, well, for me anyway. It means that I have publicly made a visible commitment to something. I have taken a stand. From that point, I then have to stand by that. The perception for me is that in so doing, there is the distinct possibility that it could actually be wrong, and where does that leave me?

So, for those 18 months now, I have been contributing regularly on this subject. I have a 25 year background in the electrical trade, both working in the trade, and also teaching the trade, so I was coming from a secure knowledge of that trade. What I wanted to base my posts on was the technical aspects behind that belief, and just what the consequences will be of blindly following something we are being told we must do for the sake of the environment we all live in.

The technical aspects are not easily comprehended, and my task was to actually try and explain it so that it could be understood by the average ‘man in the street’.

In the time since that first post, I have contributed more than 220 posts just tagged with same tag as that first one, and possibly a further hundred or more on related matters, as well as maybe a further hundred or more on other subjects, some of them also even related to those original subjects. As well as these, I have selected other posts (also probably more than hundreds) from our other contributors to our blog, some of them also relating to what I have been contributing.

With each post I make, I check the facts meticulously, because that is my nature. I won’t just talk from the top of my head just for the sake of saying something.

Early on, with each of those posts came further commitment, wondering if those facts were ‘perfectly’ true. As detailed as my knowledge of the trade was, I learned new things along the way, and with each new thing, I didn’t just rattle it off first, without checking from other sources to verify that information.

That is the nature of the Internet. Things that do get put down are then repeated in other places, so the actuality is that information then gets repeated until it appears in more than one place, so there is now the perception that because it does appear in more places than the original, then ‘THAT’ of itself become factual. So, expanding on that, if the original statement is erroneous, then its repetition tends to give it credence.

That is why, when I check my facts, I like to go to as many places as is feasibly possible to see if all of them check out with each other.

To that end, I have visited literally thousands of places, each of them adding to my store of knowledge on this subject. Each time I contribute something ‘new’ in nature, I hold my breath, hoping that even though I have looked in as many places as  possible to prove it correct, I still hope I’m not just repeating erroneous information. At later stages I will get to revisit things I have said previously, as is always the case, and at every one of those times, the original thing I committed to has proved correct.

The nature of people who blog is that they would like to think that what they do write receives widespread readership, and I’m like them all I guess. However, just because thousands of people do not visit my posts every day, that does not concern me. I KNOW that people are reading what I do post here, and each time they read something, then they learn something new, or I would like to believe that they do.

Having said that, I also realise that along the way, I have made some pretty bold statements, and having made them, my perception is that some readers would find those statements pretty outrageous at times. That is my intent. What I want to impress upon readers is that when it comes to electrical power generation, all the figures sound huge, and unless people have an understanding of the context, then those figures can quite easily be misrepresented, which is exactly what has happened. My task is to correctly explain those statistics into something that can be understood.

Another of the things I have specifically done is to include as many links as possible in the posts I make, the reason here being that I want you readers to visit those sites to see for yourself, and then to read the explanation I offer. One of the things you also need to understand about including those links is this. When I link to a specific site, the people at that site get a message at their site telling them that someone has linked into them. What they can then do is follow that link back to our site, and see what it is I have said in reference to the link to them.

So, when I link into a site, I know that they are coming here and looking at what I have to say. That’s one of the main reasons I use those links. I want them to come here and look at what I’ve said.

So when I make what seems to be outrageous claims as to the extreme variability of all these forms of renewable electrical power generation, the outrageous costs, and, if it must be said, the uselessness of those renewable power processes to replace coal fired power, then I want those people at those sites to see that. When I quote huge looking statistics, I want people to see them. When I show just what those coal fired power plants actually do, and what is the end result of doing that, I want people to see those figures, and understand what they really mean. When I take aim at politicians telling us that this is something we have to do, and that we must be prepared to bear the burden of what that means, that we must be prepared to pay and pay and pay, then I want them (or as is always the case, their advisers and minders and staff) to also see that. When I reference the United Nations and the way they have gone about things without telling us the full story, then I want them to see that too.

When I make statements about how some people are taking advantage of this situation for their own agendas, then I want them to see that too.

Now, having said that, here’s where I want you, the reader to use some logic.

I fully understand that this is something that needs a precise understanding of what it actually is for you to be able to understand it at all, even if I do sometimes get ‘too technical’, and because of that, it might be difficult for you to understand, or even to actually believe it in the first place.

Here’s where the logic comes in.

If I link back to as many sites as I do, then it only stands to reason that if I was wrong, or they wanted to refute what I had to say, or to even better explain it, then, like a shot, they would be adding comments to my posts saying just that.

That’s what I want them to do. To come here and tell me where I’ve made errors.

Only one time in those 18 months has someone come here and proved something I have said was wrong. That was when I mentioned about that thing that cows do, and to show I’m not being disingenuous, here is the link back to that post, and the correction is at the bottom.

That is the only time someone has come in to refute what I have to say.

I want them to come and tell me I’m wrong.

They haven’t.

Now I know that what I post is right. There are now literally hundreds of posts I have made on these subjects. Logic must tell you that if no one has come in here to dispute anything I have to say, then you can draw your own conclusions from that.

Last thing I want you to think about.

What if I AM right?